Introduction The Premortem Analysis is a simple way to begin an intelligence analysis project. This is a brainstorming technique that may be effective when you’re asked to give a briefing on very short-term basis with limited information and allows you to question the assumptions underpinning your analysis. The below information is based on steps originally outlined by…
Tag: analytical technique
Delphi Technique
Introduction There are a number of techniques for making predictions or analysis. It is particularly useful in governments, public policy, and other areas where facts may be disputed but generally based on a set of common foundational knowledge. Examples of this type include economics (where the same economic principles may be expressed differently by country),…
Key Assumptions Check
Introduction The Key Assumptions Check is a simple way to begin an intelligence analysis or research project. Despite its simplicity, it is also extremely powerful, because it allows us to question the underlying assumptions that we make influencing our decisions and thought processes. Because of confirmation bias, we often exclude information from our worldview or…
Flow Analysis
Activity flow analysis is used to “provide a generic view of a set of criminal actions, or modus operandi to determine what the key actions were and provide an overview of a crime.” (UNODC, 2011, p. 97) Activity flow analysis requires examining a crime for the specific elements required for that crime, and then looking…
Association Analysis
Creating an association matrix forms the basis for many other techniques covered in this course, including link charting. Association matrix, as the name may suggest, involves plotting out the associations or connections between entities. These entities can be individuals, organizations, loose-knit groups (such as Anonymous, or ISIS) or other communities. The purpose of the association…